Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
later/never 91.9%In testa tra 4 esiti
later/never 91.9%Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mar 24, 16:44 UTC1 gen 27, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Mojo programming language fully open-sourced by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a SOTA open-sourced LLM forecasting system make major use of quasilinguistic neural reps (QNRs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Blu-ray be open sourced?
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KalshiOpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Musk is suing OpenAI.
- He wants them to start open sourcing their stuff again.
- https://www.courthousenews.com/elon-musk-sues-openai-over-ai-threat/
- "Musk brings claims including breach of contract... asks for the company to revert back to open source"