Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2035 or earlier 59.2%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto4 apr 24, 02:27 UTC31 dic 35, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Manifold MarketsWill we ever see a failed Starship/Booster catch attempt on the chopsticks? (Before 2030)
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing
- The launches aren't required to be successful
- Answers may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain
- Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
- UTC is used for dates
- Related markets:
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 319,9K €
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume totale
- 217,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2K €
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs??
- Manifold Markets quota 2035 or earlier al 59% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs??
- When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing