Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore January 1, 2027 36.8%+6.8ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto29 set 26, 18:31 UTC29 set 27, 18:25 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the time period during which Anthropic officially announces or launches a developer-facing native decision API, "System One" model, or direct equivalent.
- To qualify, the API must be explicitly designed to return structured, typed decisions (such as calibrated probabilities, classification choices, or scores) rather than standard open-ended text completions, matching the paradigm established by TypeSafe’s Jev and OpenAI’s Decision API.
- Sources of Truth: Official announcements will be verified via the Anthropic News Blog or official Anthropic developer documentation.
- Resolution Dates: Resolution is based on the date of the public announcement of the API's availability (including private/public beta, developer preview, or general availability):
- the named outcome: Announced on or before December 31, 2026.
