What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaRussia / UcrainaEuropaElezioneMeteo4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGermany goes back to 1933 era 50%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
0
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 26, 14:46 UTC31 dic 30, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market.
- If no member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is sworn in as the Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler) at any point prior to January 1, 2031, this entire market and all of its individual options will resolve to N/A. If an AfD member does become Chancellor before 2031, the individual options will resolve to YES if the specified event is enacted, officially implemented, or occurs during their tenure (or within one year of their tenure, provided it is still before January 1, 2031).
- Otherwise, they will resolve to NO.
- Because this market allows anyone to add answers (addAnswersMode: ANYONE), newly added options must be resolved under the same conditional rules.
