Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeContains egregious, easily verified falsehoods 99%In testa tra 32 esiti
Previsori
90
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ott 25, 18:07 UTC1 gen 30, 18:30 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
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KalshiRegole
After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.
- How do you think this will turn out? Add your own predictions!
- Note: "release" means when the full-version is out, not beta or early-access.
- The V0.1 which released on October 27 does not count.
- A future release labelled "V1.0" would count.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Volume totale
- 325K €
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- Manifold Markets quota Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.