Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale40 - 50% 39.9%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
17 feb 25, 08:58 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRegole
This market is the same as this one but uses different buckets and is about a different benchmark.
- The best performance by an AI system on EnigmaEval as of December 31st 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- This resolution will use https://scale.com/leaderboard/enigma_eval as its source.
- If the number reported is exactly on the boundary (eg. 10%) then the higher choice will be used (ie. 10-20%).
- Which AI systems count?