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Fusion 89.7%In testa tra 14 esiti
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38
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 apr 24, 00:43 UTC1 gen 25, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
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KalshiRegole
The technologies can be explicitly sci-fi-inspired, but obviously don't have to be.
- Add your own! Unrelated or trivial answers will be N/A'd.
- All developed technologies resolve YES once they are in use (past the research phase) and technologies that don't exist resolve NO if/when we travel to the stars: aka when at least one person makes a transit attempt with a reasonable expectation of survival and success.
- AI-developed tech counts, if the AI was originally made by humans.
- Presumptive alien-tech and alien-AI-tech don't count.
- The close date is highly speculative and may be pushed back until interstellar travel happens or humans are gone.