Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBougainville 29.1%In testa tra 15 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto2 apr 24, 17:37 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join ASEAN before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 643,2K €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-3.5pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt81%
- Yes-5.0pt19%
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 261K €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What countries will join the UN before 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota Bougainville al 29% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What countries will join the UN before 2030?
- What countries will join the UN before 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato What countries will join the UN before 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts