Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 36.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto25 apr 26, 15:13 UTC7 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be President on Election Day 2028? (Add answers.)
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWho will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Manifold MarketsWill any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegole
The market resolves to whichever third party receives the most electoral votes, and if that is a tie, whichever party receives highest percentage of the popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Results will be determined by official FEC data and major news outlets reporting final vote tallies.
- If a party changes its name but stays basically the same party, it will be considered the same party.
- If someone runs as an Independent, they can be added to this list.