Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
5.0 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneUS Politics1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 62%
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
875,5 €
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
35.0% / 38.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
15 gen 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this market, any candidate that is not officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered independent or third party, regardless of whether they join a party’s caucus or conference after the election.
- For example, Senator Bernie Sanders would be considered an independent candidate.
- Third party or independent candidates who accept the endorsement of the Democratic or Republican party will still count if they are not officially affiliated or do not explicitly represent either of the two major parties.
- However, candidates that are officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will NOT count, even if they have the formal support of other third parties (such as the Working Families or Conservative parties in New York).
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.