Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TecnologiaOne-OffMaterie primeBusiness e aziende2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.1%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 17:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
