Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 57.9%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 19:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Alcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsWagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027
Manifold MarketsUS gas prices this week
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Wagerup's alumina production in 2026 exceeds 2.5 million tonnes (2,500 kt).
- Resolution will be determined by Alcoa's official 2026 annual production figures, which should be disclosed in quarterly earnings reports or annual sustainability reports available on Alcoa's investor relations website (https://news.alcoa.com).
- Wagerup Refinery has a capacity of 2.9 million tonnes per year and is the second largest producer of alumina in the AWAC global joint venture between Alumina Limited and Alcoa.
- In Q3 2025, alumina production increased 4 percent sequentially to 2.5 million metric tons, primarily due to higher output from Australian refineries with lower maintenance in the quarter.
- An efficiency project aims to enable the two existing refinery production units to achieve approximately 3.3 million tonnes per annum, up from the current licensed capacity of 2.85 Mtpa.