US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
One-OffSocietà e cultura4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 50.8%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto27 ago 25, 03:32 UTC1 mar 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US Total Fertility Rate in 2030?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
PolymarketTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)
KalshiRegole
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.