Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 89.4%
No 89.4%Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mag 24, 18:21 UTC22 mag 34, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Given the movement in conservative circles towards greater fertility, and general angst among politicos regarding declining birthrates, it is feasible that our politicians and/or cultural influencers find some methods to encourage fertility in the US, and we see an increase in birthrates back to replacement.
- Will this happen in the next decade?
- Current projections provided no interventions:
- https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59899#:~:text=In%20CBO's%20projections%2C%20the%20total%20fertility%20rate%20rises%20from%201.67,and%20to%201.60%20by%202054.
