Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale>5.0% to 5.3% 43%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto27 nov 25, 09:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
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PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?
- Current Context:
- July-September 2025: 5.0% unemployment rate
- IFS baseline forecast: unemployment peaks at 5.1% in 2026
- Recent trend: unemployment has been rising since mid-2022
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, ages 16+) published by the ONS for October-December 2026 in the Employment in the UK bulletin released in early 2027.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 548,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 altri esiti
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- Manifold Markets quota >5.0% to 5.3% al 43% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?