Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNone 65%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo25 ott 25, 11:47 UTC31 dic 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
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KalshiTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRegole
Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?
- President: Trump serves a third term as President, maintaining full constitutional authority.
- the named outcome: Trump holds a high-level position formally coordinating or overseeing the cabinet.
- In this scenario, the actual President (for example Vance) would delegate day-to-day executive management to Trump.
- The role would be comparable to a Chancellor or Prime Minister, giving him direct influence over cabinet-level decisions.
- the named outcome: Trump would hold a cabinet-level position (e.g., Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense), formally under the President.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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- 183,4 Mln €
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trumps Power After His Second Term??
- Manifold Markets quota None al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trumps Power After His Second Term??
- Trumps Power After His Second Term? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Trumps Power After His Second Term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?