Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 83%
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 25, 06:30 UTC20 gen 29, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I remain able to leave USA through January 20, 2029?
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Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if Donald Trump serves his complete second presidential term from inauguration through January 20, 2029 without being removed from office through impeachment, resignation, death, or other means.
- Resolves NO if he leaves office early for any reason.
- Resolution will be based on official White House records and major news media confirmation.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt65.7%
- No change-1.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party+0.6pt9%
- Volume totale
- 32,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 982,4K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-6.0pt67%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt33%
- Volume totale
- 5,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 758,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 627,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 598,8K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt60.4%
- Republican Party+4.0pt39.6%
- Volume totale
- 9,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,8K €
KALSHIAlaska Senate winner?
- Democratic party-4.0pt71.7%
- Republican party+2.0pt28.3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 445,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 83% al 24 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029?
- Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029 dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Trump completes full second term through January 20, 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if Donald Trump serves his complete second presidential term from inauguration through January 20, 2029 without being removed from office through impeachment, resignation, death, or other means.