Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSpider-man 74.3%-7.7ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-16.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
23 ago 26, 22:14 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiRegole
This is specifically for children.
- I will be referencing a ranking made by this website: https://nrf.com/blog/2025s-top-halloween-costumes-are-a-mix-of-new-and-old.
- Last year, the results were this:
- [image](the children's column is on the left)
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+3.5pt51.5%
- 65-89-6.0pt23.3%
- <40+5.5pt19.4%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 65,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,1K €
KALSHIWill Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- Yes+10.0pt65%
- No35%
- Volume totale
- 1,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku30.4%
- Kira Freije+2.5pt28.4%
- Marguerite Humeau+4.0pt27.4%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- UCLA+1.0pt85%
- Rice84%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,3K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+1.0pt76.2%
- Yes-1.0pt23.8%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 961,8 €
FORECASTEXWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Yes82%
- No18%
- Volume totale
- 430,3 €
- Volume 24h
- 430,3 €
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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- Another Elon baby by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top 3 most popular Halloween costumes in 2026? [ADD ANSWERS]?
- Manifold Markets quota Spider-man al 74% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top 3 most popular Halloween costumes in 2026? [ADD ANSWERS]?
- Top 3 most popular Halloween costumes in 2026? [ADD ANSWERS] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top 3 most popular Halloween costumes in 2026? [ADD ANSWERS]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This is specifically for children.