This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
One-OffTecnologiaBusiness e aziende3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 98.9%
Previsori
157
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 apr 22, 16:06 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028
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Manifold MarketsWill North Macedonia be a Member of the European Union on 1st of January 2030?
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
