Quali sono le probabilità attuali per The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

Manifold Markets quota a robot al 65.1% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... dovrebbe risolversi il 5 aprile 2042.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

a robot 65.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 11 ore fa

Obsoleto

29 mar 24, 13:38 UTC5 apr 42, 06:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

For this market a "humanoid robot" will be defined as having two (and only two) legs, which are used for significant travel on the surface.

To simplify judgement of what is or isn't humanoid, there is no requirement that the overall appearance be like that of the named outcome.
For example, a two-legged robot whose knees point backward and with dinner-plates for feet would still count as humanoid.