SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
Politica USAIAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (70%)
Risolto: 11 ott 2026, 21:36
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
20%
A 24 ore
62%
ConsensoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 14 ott 2026, 00:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes31.4%
No68.6%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketIn the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurRegole
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
- [image] Update 2026-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market to NO.