Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeCA-22 30.2%In testa tra 15 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto17 feb 26, 22:15 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections
- Resolves based on the relative order of the time the AP calls each race: Last (slowest) resolves to 100% 2nd slowest resolves to 80% ... 5th slowest resolves to 20% 6th slowest or faster resolves to 0%
- A race is considered called when the AP projects a winner for the seat (by the timestamp to the minute on the AP elections results page).
- Runoff elections, recounts, RCV, and legal challenges to ballots are all valid reasons for a delay.
- Only districts listed here as options will be considered when determining the relative order of the last races to be called.
- If the last race to be called is not listed in this market, it will not be considered for resolution.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- 183,6 Mln €
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms?
- Manifold Markets quota CA-22 al 30% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms?
- Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections