KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
LA-02 97%In testa tra 6 esiti
LA-02 97%Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
18,5 €
Open interest
3,7K €
Open interest medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
28 set 26, 23:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 2nd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Louisiana Secretary of State
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.
Regole per ogni esito
- LA-02
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 2nd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-04
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 4th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-01
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-03
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 3rd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-05
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 5th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-06
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 6th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.