Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
California 9 99%In testa tra 68 esiti
California 9 99%Previsori
112
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
8 feb 25, 02:10 UTC2 dic 26, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWhat % of the vote will the Republican get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms
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Manifold MarketsHow many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
FutuurLouisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
KalshiRegole
Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours.
- Final resolution will be according to certified results.
- Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)