Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 16:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 93.8%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 18:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
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Manifold MarketsWho will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiPink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where:
- The election is for the office of President of Venezuela
- Voting occurs (whether the election is considered free/fair internationally is not relevant for resolution)
- The election is officially conducted by Venezuelan governmental authorities
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Venezuelan governmental authorities" means whatever authority controls the territory of Venezuela, including:
