Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?
YearlyPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin AmericaElezione3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 75%
Previsori
79
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto4 dic 22, 14:39 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Leftists currently govern a majority of Latin American countries (13 out of 20).
- Between now and the end of 2026, every Latin American country will hold an election.
- Will the pink tide recede?
- A country is considered governed by leftists if a party affiliated with the São Paulo Forum is part of the governing coalition, or is the party of the president.
- A majority is 11 or more countries (50%+1).
- Latin America is defined as all of South America except for Guyana and Suriname, all of Central America except for Belize, plus Mexico, Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic.