Will Trump pardon Maduro?
One-OffPolitica USAGeopoliticaElezioneCriminalità e giustiziaAmerica LatinaPolitica3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.6%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 14:15 UTC4 gen 30, 14:15 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Manifold MarketsMaduro back in power before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolas Maduro be prosecuted and sentenced to life in prison before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The Trump Administration has called Maduro's government "illegitimate" and accused the Venezuelan President of being a "narco-terrorist".
- This market resolves YES if Trump grants Maduro a pardon before leaving office.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Trump's social media accounts.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends without such a pardon being issued.
- Trump has taken very different approaches in his relationships with the two men—threatening to deploy military force in an escalating pressure campaign against one, while offering the other clemency, referring to Maduro and former Honduran President Hernández respectively.
