Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2026-02-12 (12-Feb-2026) 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 24, 11:29 UTC17 ott 26, 17:00 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
On which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Each option will resolve a couple of days after the given date to be on the safe side.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive??
- Manifold Markets quota 2026-02-12 (12-Feb-2026) al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive??
- On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Each option will resolve a couple of days after the given date to be on the safe side.