Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95%
Previsori
59
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
7 feb 24, 23:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsOn which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive?
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KalshiRegole
This market aims to assess the likelihood of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, being alive at the close of 31 December 2026.
- The health and longevity of former presidents are subjects of significant public interest, particularly given their roles in shaping national and global policy.
- Factors for consideration in this market include publicly known details about Trump's health, lifestyle habits, age-related risks, and any statistical life expectancy data pertinent to his demographic profile.
- Participants are urged to approach their analysis and contributions with the utmost respect and decorum.
- Speculative discussions should rely on information that is publicly accessible and should be framed respectfully, avoiding invasive or derogatory commentary.
- The resolution of this market will hinge on verifiable, public evidence concerning Donald Trump's life status as of the specified date.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
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- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026??
- Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market aims to assess the likelihood of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, being alive at the close of 31 December 2026.