Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88.3%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto7 feb 24, 23:12 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market seeks to predict the survival of Joe Biden, the 46th President of the United States, up until the end of 31 December 2026.
- Given the natural concerns around the health and wellbeing of public figures, especially those of significant political stature and advanced age, this question is of public interest.
- Participants are encouraged to consider various factors that could influence the outcome, including but not limited to Biden's health records, actuarial life expectancy data for men in his age group, the stress associated with holding and having held high office, and any public information regarding his health and lifestyle.
- It is important to approach this market with sensitivity and respect for the subject and all individuals involved.
- Speculation should be grounded in publicly available information and presented in a manner that maintains the dignity of the individuals discussed.
- This market does not endorse or encourage speculation that is invasive or disrespectful.