Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 dic 25, 00:53 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2035, old consumer computing hardware experiences a qualitatively new, AI‑driven price boom, such that at least three of the criteria below are clearly satisfied.
- What this market is about
- This market is trying to capture a world where:
- New wafer capacity and manufacturing are heavily tilted toward high‑end AI accelerators and memory,
- Consumer‑grade new PCs and consoles are relatively under‑supplied, and
- Software + cloud integration make even 8–20‑year‑old devices surprisingly useful as AI agents / inference endpoints,
