Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.1%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto4 set 23, 21:02 UTC2 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge?
Manifold MarketsWill an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsNew US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Currently the bridges we have are
- San Mateo - Hayward bridge, route 92, connecting Foster City/San Mateo to Hayward in the central bay
- Dumbarton Bridge - Connecting East Palo Alto to the south east bay
- San Francisco - Oakland Bay Bridge
- Golden Gate bridge - Connecting SF to Marin County in the north
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 482,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,7K €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,6K €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030?
- New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track