Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore Jan 2030 95%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto25 feb 26, 04:39 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
The autonomous vehicle company Waymo has been expanding in the SF Bay Area for the past several years.
- In late 2025 they expanded to cover most of the peninsula.
- [image]To efficiently expand to the whole Bay area, they will presumably need to eventually cross one of the many bridges.
- When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge away from the peninsula?
- Which Bridges? We include four bridges: the Golden Gate Bridge, the Bay Bridge to Oakland, the San Mateo–Hayward Bridge, and the Dumbarton Bridge.
- We do not include other bridges (eg, not Richmond–San Rafael Bridge or Antioch bridge, etc) which do not connect to the current service area.
Mercati aperti
Tech
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- $78,400 or above99%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge??
- Manifold Markets quota Before Jan 2030 al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge??
- When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The autonomous vehicle company Waymo has been expanding in the SF Bay Area for the past several years.