Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.5%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto5 dic 25, 21:02 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhat will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolves NO if the series finishes adapting the book series up to and including the Deathly Hallows.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if a cancellation is officially announced, or if more than 2 years have passed since the last part with no release in sight.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the series diverges from the books but finishes on its own terms:
- If it feels rushed, resolves YES
- If it feels well-paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, resolves NO
- If particularly close, trader consensus will be sought; if no reasonable consensus, resolves N/A
