Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore 2027-02-16 92.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+42.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 26, 15:52 UTC16 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The '+' means any version at or above 1.1 counts: if Meta skips 1.1 and releases Muse Wonder 1.2 or Muse Wonder 2, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Muse Wonder 1.1, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
