[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?
GeopoliticaOne-OffCina3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.8%
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto10 lug 24, 22:57 UTC2 gen 30, 12:00 UTC
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Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21870/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, between question launch and January 1, 2030, China makes an official statement threatening nuclear use if another nation gets its military involved in the China-Taiwan situation.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
