[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
CinaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.8%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 24, 16:42 UTC2 gen 30, 12:00 UTC
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Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21805/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, China carries out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure that causes loss of electricity for at least 10,000 people for at least 1 day.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.