Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore April 2027 86.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+36.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 26, 15:52 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The '+' means any version at or above K3.2 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.2 and releases Kimi K3.3 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
