Previsione della comunità attuale
No 56%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto2 mar 25, 01:06 UTC1 gen 00, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
DeepSeek IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek v5 release before 2028
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.
- If, by January 1st 2100, there is no evidence for this, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence, but no strong evidence, then this question resolves as N/A. The NO and N/A resolutions cannot occur before January 1st 2100.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.3pt96%
- Yes+0.3pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 27°C+67.0pt83.3%
- 28°C+9.5pt13.5%
- 29°C+2.3pt3.1%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66.7%
- LPL (China)-0.5pt24.5%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.9%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt79.2%
- Puerto Rico-45.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 15,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5K €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,8K €
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- August Inflation China - Annual
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Is there an American spy working at Deepseek? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Is there an American spy working at Deepseek??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a US spy was working at Deepseek at any point in the period 2025-2035.