Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?
One-OffSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.9%
Previsori
83
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ago 23, 02:38 UTC1 gen 27, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegole
https://glowfic.com/users/884
- Clarification on co-authorship: I would resolve it YES if Eliezer is cowriting even if he's not writing the whole thing, NO if it's entirely written by another author who is asking him a large number of questions behind the scene.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume totale
- 3,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume totale
- 49,8K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky??
- Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://glowfic.com/users/884