Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.5%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto31 lug 26, 02:18 UTC1 feb 27, 03:17 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
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Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign in 2026?
PredictItRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by January 31, 2027 it is officially confirmed by Senator Mitch McConnell’s office, his family, his medical team, or a consensus of reputable major news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or CNN) that McConnell is medically brain-dead or on life support.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- McConnell delivers a public, verbal address or appears in a live, unedited video proving conscious cognitive function, OR
- No official or credible confirmation of brain death or life support is made public by January 31, 2027, OR
- He is officially announced to have passed away without a preceding, publicly confirmed state of being brain-dead or kept on life support.
Mercati aperti
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+39 altri esiti
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+4 altri esiti
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+17 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead??
- Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria