Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.1%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto31 lug 26, 02:18 UTC1 feb 27, 03:17 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by January 31, 2027 it is officially confirmed by Senator Mitch McConnell’s office, his family, his medical team, or a consensus of reputable major news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or CNN) that McConnell is medically brain-dead or on life support.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- McConnell delivers a public, verbal address or appears in a live, unedited video proving conscious cognitive function, OR
- No official or credible confirmation of brain death or life support is made public by January 31, 2027, OR
- He is officially announced to have passed away without a preceding, publicly confirmed state of being brain-dead or kept on life support.