Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2024 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
2024 100%Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto2 dic 23, 12:30 UTC2 gen 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what years there will be blog posts at https://blog.val.town/
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill I publish 2 blog posts a month every month in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "Announcing RoastMyPost: LLMs Eval Blog Posts ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?
MyriadRegole
This market is about a startup GitButler https://gitbutler.com/
- I'm iterested will this startup succeed and as a proxy metric for this I have decided to check if there are blog posts in the official blog https://blog.gitbutler.com/
- This market is "Multiple choice" with the settings:
- * Who can add new answers later? — No one
- * How many answers will be chosen? — Any number
- Each answer is a year.
