In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Salute e medicinaIAOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 51.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+9.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto1 giu 26, 16:44 UTC1 feb 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.