In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
2.4 pt (24h)Health & MedicineIAOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 39%+2.4ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 giu 26, 16:44 UTC1 feb 31, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota 2027 al 39% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria