In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 91.7% al 23 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors??

In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2028.

Come viene liquidato In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: resolves YES

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+3.5pt23%
• 2028+1.0pt18%
• 2027-1.0pt9%

Volume totale

2,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

203,5K €

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.0pt89%
• Anthropic-1.5pt10%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+3.7pt93%
• October 31-27.9pt24%
• October 30-26.5pt23%

+17 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt91.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.5pt26.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.1pt21.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+3.7pt19.2%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-6.0pt81%
• December 15,-2.5pt80%
• November 30,-3.5pt69%

+9 altri esiti

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• Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• OpenAI market share this week
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Anthropic market share this week