Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.5%
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16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo19 apr 25, 01:14 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be assassinated during his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is assassinated will it be while visiting another country?
Manifold MarketsUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves yes if Trump is assassinated before January 20, 2029 AND in the week following (starting at the time of the fatal attack, even if death occurs at a later time) SPX increases by at least 3% (measured by exact price to exact price, or most recent close if the attack occurs outside trading hours) according to Yahoo Finance.
- Resolves no if Trump is assassinated and SPX does not increase by >3%.
- Resolves NA if Trump is not assassinated before January 20, 2029.
