Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?
One-OffPolitica USAPoliticaElezioneSportGolf2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 apr 25, 13:52 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is assassinated (killed as a result of a deliberate attempt on his life) before the end of his presidential term ending January 20, 2029.
- It will also resolve YES if he is rendered so injured (brain death, coma, etc.) by an assassination attempt that he is forced to end his presidency.
- It resolves NO if he completes his term without being assassinated or leaves office early for reasons other than assassination (such as resignation, impeachment, or natural death).
- If he resigns as a result of fear of assassination this market will also resolve NO.
- Donald Trump has already survived at least two known assassination attempts in 2024:
