Previsione della comunità attuale
Green 55.2%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto6 dic 25, 01:57 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
GeminiWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiUK election called by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Update 2026-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the UK PM after the next election is from Labour, Reform, or Conservatives, the market resolves N/A (all trades are cancelled and mana is returned).
- The market only resolves to one of the listed options if a PM from that specific party wins.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 19,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 altri esiti
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election??
- Manifold Markets quota Green al 55% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election??
- If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2026-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the UK PM after the next election is from Labour, Reform, or Conservatives, the market resolves N/A (all trades are cancelled and mana is returned).