If Javier Milei is reelected, will a republican candidate win the 2028 US presidental election?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneAmerica Latina2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 25, 02:41 UTC5 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolution criteria
- Precondition: Javier Milei must be officially reelected President of Argentina for the 2027–2031 term.
- Confirmation will rely on Argentina’s official election authorities (Cámara Nacional Electoral and/or the DINE results portal).
- If Milei is not reelected (including after any runoff), this market resolves N/A. (electoral.gob.ar)
- If the precondition is met: Resolve YES if the Republican Party’s presidential nominee wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election as determined by the official Electoral College count certified by Congress (the National Archives posts the certified results after the joint session).
- Resolve NO otherwise.
