If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 65.7%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto24 ago 25, 18:33 UTC31 ago 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)