Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.7%
Previsori
126
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
21 ago 24, 06:37 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurRegole
(@JoelBecker and I put a handshake bet on this at 2%, my $10 to his $490)
- Update 2025-03-09: Dropping the conditional "If Elected" from the title, as Trump won election.
- Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The market will resolve after Trump's current term ends
- The market will resolve if a pardon occurs
- Resolution happens at the earliest of the above events
